Grade Two Hampton Novices' Chase Guide 2022

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Warwick - January 15 2022
Warwick 13:50
1
A P Heskin

Threeunderthrufive

J:
 
A P Heskin
T:
 
Paul Nicholls
Age: 7
Weight: 11-7
OR: 151
Days: 35
N/A

Not exactly the most competitive field in this Novices Chase, but there appears to be a star in the line-up.

Threeunderthrufive has already had four runs over fences this season for Champion trainer Paul Nicholls with form figures of 2111.

He was well beaten on debut over the larger obstacles where he was beaten by Does He Know by just over 5 lengths and looked quite novicey when jumping, but since then has never looked backed and looks a real nice chaser in the making.

He has made it 3 for 3 since his debut, winning the Silver Bowl Novices Chase at Exeter by 15 lengths after making all and jumping much better than his debut run.

He then went on to look to reverse the form with Does He Know at Cheltenham in November, which he duly obliged in doing so, he was kept in behind the leader that day and put the pressure on them at times but then was handed the lead when the front runner fell at the 3rd, he was pushed out to win from there and stayed on superbly up the Cheltenham hill to win by just over 4 lengths.

Then put arguably his best career performance to date when winning the Grade 2 December Novices Chase by 7 and a half lengths at Doncaster last December.

He has looked a different prospect since his debut, jumping better and always travelling strongly, Adrian Heskin gets on well with the horse.

The small field will help again, and he can take the step up in trip again to 3m in his stride as he looked a very nice staying chaser when stepping up to 2m7f last time.

Three wins out of four runs over fences so far including a Grade 2 last time out, Highest rated in the race but does give weight to the other runners.

Clearly the class act runner and is the one to beat.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/01/22WAR24Sft11-71
11/12/21DON24GS11-51
14/11/21CHL24.5Gd11-81
02/11/21EXE24.5GS11-21
08/10/21CHP23.5Gd11-22
Warwick - January 15 2022
Warwick 13:50
4
Henry Brooke

Mint Condition

J:
 
Henry Brooke
T:
 
Jennie Candlish
Age: 8
Weight: 11-2
OR: 138
Days: 16
N/A

The stable star for the Jennie Candlish yard who has only had the two runs over the larger obstacles, but really does look a nice staying chaser in the making.

He made his Chase debut at Haydock in heavy conditions last December, finishing a neck second behind a horse who has placed in a Grade 1 contest since behind two of the leading novice chasers this season, and did have much more experience under his belt than Mint Condition that day.

Then the Jennie Candlish gelding went on to go one better and win in the heavy going at Haydock at the end of last month, jumping pretty well at the rear of the field before travelling nicely into the race to stay on the best and win going away by just over 2 lengths.

The soft conditions look to suit this horse wonders, as he has only won on Soft or Heavy conditions in the past (4 wins in 14 races under rules, all four on soft/heavy) therefore the predicted soft conditions will suit here on Saturday, at a trip of 3 miles we know he can handle, tackling it for the first time over the larger obstacles.

Chase winner on second run last time out at Haydock, trip and conditions will suit and he could pick up the prices late on in the race should it be a real test. Definitely a live contender.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
30/12/21HAY22.5Hy11-41
01/12/21HAY21.5Hy11-22
31/10/21CRL20Sft11-58
20/03/21UTT20GS11-42
20/02/21HAY24.5Sft10-124
Warwick - January 15 2022
Warwick 13:50
5
Nick Scholfield

Mossy Fen

J:
 
Nick Scholfield
T:
 
Christian Williams
Age: 7
Weight: 11-2
OR: 137
Days: 428
N/A

A former Grade 2 winner over hurdles at this venue back in 2019, he is a very lightly raced gelding who is only a 7yo and having his second run for his new yard Christian Williams.

He has also ran twice over fences but doesn’t look to have shown much love for the larger obstacles as yet, finishing a well beaten fourth on debut at Cheltenham and pulled up on stable debut at Cheltenham again.

He is a winner at Warwick previously and does look to appreciate the softer underfoot conditions but doesn’t exactly look like a natural chaser compared to some of these, he would have to step up massively to take this. Grade 2 winner over hurdles but has struggled since going over the larger obstacles recently.

Will need to step up a fair bit to land a surprise in this.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
13/11/20CHL20GS11-2P
23/10/20CHL24.5Gd11-04
11/03/20CHL21Sft11-75
11/01/20WAR21Sft11-01
14/12/19CHL24Sft10-124
Warwick - January 15 2022
Warwick 13:50
3
Ryan Mania

Doyen Breed

J:
 
Ryan Mania
T:
 
Sandy Thomson
Age: 7
Weight: 11-2
OR: 142
Days: 41
N/A

Another horse that arrives in this race in top form for a relatively small yard, who are in fine form at the moment (Sandy Thomson has a 25% strike rate for the last 14 days, 4 winners in 16 runners) Doyen Breed has had the two starts over fences, with the form figures of 12.

He made the perfect start over the larger obstacles at Hexham in November last year, beating a classy type all the way to the line after a fantastic display of jumping.

He was beaten by a progressive type last time out and was slightly unlucky in that race, as the faller in that race might have knocked his concentration 2 jumps from home.

The inform Grand National winning jockey Ryan Mania (Who like the yard is in top form with 7 winners in 20 rides, a 35% strike rate in the last 14 days) heads down to Warwick for just the one ride which is this horse in this contest, before heading back up to Kelso for rides on the Sunday.

Chase winner and maybe unlucky not to win last time out, Stays the trip well but softer conditions are a slight unknown compared to others in the race. Could go well but likely place claims.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/01/22WAR24Sft11-22
05/12/21KEL23.5Sft11-82
17/11/21HEX24GS11-01
06/11/21KEL26Sft11-122
09/04/21AIN24.5GS11-45
Warwick - January 15 2022
Warwick 13:50
2
Sam Twiston-Davies

Any News

J:
 
Sam Twiston-Davies
T:
 
Neil Mulholland
Age: 7
Weight: 11-2
OR: 138
Days: 66
N/A

A horse that arrives here with three chase runs (Form figures of 234) doesn’t exactly look the winner on paper running in this Grade 2 contest, up against some nice looking novice chasers who have won at least once already this season.

Any News was fancied on chase debut as he was backed into 13/8 favourite, so obviously has shown signs somewhere of being a potential nice chaser.

But he has only been running in lesser company since and looked to have struggled, so the step up to Grade 2 company in this doesn’t look to be ideal.

Has placed twice since going over fences, has been well supported in previous races so keep an eye on betting, but does look slightly out classed in this.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
10/11/21EXE19GS11-84
22/10/21CHL16Gd11-23
30/09/21WAR16.5Gd11-22
08/05/21HAY15.5Sft11-76
09/04/21AIN16.5GS11-4P
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