Wednesday's Four Horse Stats Blog

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13:40 CHEPSTOW - NATIVEGETAWAY TO PLACE

The first race of the Stats Accumulator with Paddy Power comes from Chepstow in our only jumps meeting in the bet. We have selected Nativegetaway for trainer Colin Tizzard to place in the Class 5 Maiden Hurdle over 2 mile 3 1/2 furlongs.

This five year old has done really well so far this season over hurdles and on his last outing he finished a strong third behind a smart Gordon Elliott horse at Cheltenham and now dropping back to a class five he should be in the mix again.

His trainer Colin Tizzard is in some great form at the moment running at a strike rate of 25 percent for the last 14 days. With this, When he teams up with the jockey in the saddle today Robbie Power they are running at a strike rate of 60 percent for the year, equalling a profit of £49.48 from a £1 level stake.

16:40 KEMPTON - OPEN SEA TO PLACE

The second horse of the bet comes from Kempton on the all weather and we have selected Open Sea for trainer Saeed bin Suroor to go on and place in the Class 6 handicap over 7 furlongs.

This two year old has only raced three times in her career and is getting better for each run. Last time out she finished a good third in a Newcastle maiden, today she is stepping up for her nursery debut and has Oisin Murphy on board.

This jockey has been in fine form over the last 14 days since coming back from a small break and is running at a strike rate of 31 percent. Trainer Saeed bin Suroor is also in great form and has been working at 40 percent with his horses over the last two weeks and when teaming up with Oisin Murphy for the last 12 months they have a record of 29 percent together.

17:10 KEMPTON - HEADMAN TO WIN

The penultimate horse of the day comes again at Kempton in the Class 5 novice contest over 7 furlongs and we have selected the Roger Charlton trained Headman to win this race.

This two year old has only had one start but got off the mark in style blitzing the field and shaping like he could be a really smart prospect. He is up seven pounds for that win today but should still get the job done.

Roger Charlton has his yard flying at the moment currently running at a strike rate of 45 percent for the last 14 days. With this, the jockey on board today is Kieran Shoemark who is posing at 23 percent with his runners for the last two weeks.

18:40 KEMPTON - FLAMING SPEAR TO PLACE

The final horse of the Stats Accumulator with Paddy Power comes from Kempton under the lights again in the Class 1 Listed contest over a mile and we have gone with Flaming Spear to place.

This Dean Ivory trained six year old is an experienced type who has raced in some really good races in his career mainly on turf but when running on the all weather he has a record of two outings and two wins at 100 percent strike rate.

Today in Listed company it will be tough but when his trainer Dean Ivory and Jockey on board Robert Winston team up they are running at a strike rate of 20 percent. With this, Ivory in November if you have backed all of his horses you would have a profit of £18.25 from £1 level stake.

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