Thursday's Stats Blog

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Stats

17:00 KEMPTON - LIVVY'S DREAM TO PLACE

The first horse of the Stats Accumulator with Paddy Power comes from Kempton in the Class 4 handicap over 1 mile 2 furlongs and we have selected Livvy's Dream for the Charles Hill yard to place.

This three year old has been in some special form of late winning two of her last three races and came second on her latest outing. She is still nice in the weight and can go well again.

Charles Hills and jockey in the saddle today Robert Winston don't team up all that often but when they do and especially at this track they are working at a combined strike rate of 33 percent for the year.

18:15 CHELMSFORD - RAHEEB TO PLACE

The second horse of the Stats Accumulator with Paddy Power comes from Chelmsford in the Class 5 novice contest over 6 furlongs and we have selected Raheeb to finish in the top three.

This Owen Burrows trained two year old was a really promising third on debut at Lingfield over five furlongs and building from that today and going up a furlong can see him go close.

Owen Burrows has been in fine form over the last two weeks running at a strike rate of 29 percent for his horses, this is the same for jockey in the saddle and ex champion jockey Jim Crowley who is running at the same strike rate.

18:30 KEMPTON - JADEYRA TO PLACE

The Penultimate horse of the Stats Accumulator with Paddy Power comes from Kempton in the Class 5 handicap over 1 mile and we have selected Jadeyra for the Simon Crisford yard to place.

This three year old has only ran three times in her career and has got better for each run looking like she could turn into a useful mile horse after winning on her latest start at Southwell.

Simon Crisford is a trainer that has been in fine form on the all weather throughout the year and is running at strike rate of 25 percent at this track. With this, his overall training over the last 14 days has been outstanding having a strike rate of 30 percent.

20:15 CHELMSFORD - TRUE DESTINY TO WIN

The final selection tonight is our only horse to go on and win the race and this comes in the Class 6 handicap over 1 mile 5 furlongs and we have selected True Destiny to do the business.

This Roger Charlton trained three year old has been in sparkling form of late winning over 1 mile 3 furlongs and 2 miles in his last three runs and is the horse to beat today even with a 2 pound penalty.

Roger Charlton is in flying form with his horses at the moment and over the last 14 days is running at a strike rate of 43 percent and the jockey on board today Adam McNamara is also running at a strike rate of 57 percent for the last two weeks.

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