ITV Racing Saturday Newmarket, Ascot And York Preview

James Mackie

York - July 08 2022
York 12:45
7(8)
Clifford Lee

Eilean Dubh

J: Clifford Lee
T: K R Burke
N/A
Age: 4
Weight: 9-7
OR: 90
Days: 20

The first race from the Knavesmire on ITV is the Class 2 Handicap over a mile and Eilean Dubh for Karl Burke could play a big hand in the finish.

Seen on a consistent basis this year making his seasonal debut in January at Wolves in a Class 4 Handicap and finishing a good second.

Performing consistently after that winning three decent events, with the best of his runs seemingly coming of late when landing back to back wins at Hamilton and York when upped to 8.5f and a mile respectively.

Two starts ago off a mark of 84 he went on to score over course and distance at York but strangely was sent down in trip to 6f at Pontefract and didn't handle it at all.

Back up to a mile at a course and distance he is proven at makes him a player.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
09/07/22YOR8GF9-71
19/06/22PON6GF9-1211
22/05/22YOR8Gd9-11
08/05/22HAM8.5Gd9-41
29/04/22NMK8Gd8-103
Newmarket (July) - July 08 2022
Newmarket (July) 13:05
3(7)
Cieren Fallon

Kidwah

J: Cieren Fallon
T: William Haggas
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
OR: 88
Days: 37

The first runner on the final day of the July Cup meeting from us comes in the Class 2 Handicap over seven furlongs and Kidwah will take all the beating.

The three year old filly cost 220,000gns as a foal and has gone on to be seen twice to good effect in her career, winning both of her events over 6f.

Making her debut in November on soft ground at Doncaster she landed a Maiden Stakes with ease and then on her first run this term went on to make it back to back wins, this time on good ground at Redcar.

Winning by nearly five lengths that day she now makes her handicap debut off a mark of 88 and she looks to have more in the tank on this mark.

One of the bets of the day.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
09/07/22NMK7GF9-43
02/06/22RED6Gd9-31
06/11/21DON6Sft9-01
York - July 08 2022
York 13:20
2(3)
Franny Norton

Thunderous

J: Franny Norton
T: Charlie & Mark Johnston
N/A
Age: 5
Weight: 9-0
OR: 110
Days: 44

One of the feature events of the afternoon at York on Saturday is the Group Three Silver Cup Stakes and it sees three strong runners head to post to battle it out over a staying trip.

We have sided with the Charlie and Mark Johnston trained Thunderous and we believe the gelding has been granted a big opportunity to get back to winning ways in what looks to be a tactical affair.

A highly talented two year old for the Scottish team, Thunderous won all three of his juvenile outings. Scoring over seven furlongs each time and rounding out the season with a convincing Listed success.

He was only seen twice during his classic campaign but looked a hot prospect when scoring a narrow success in the Dante stakes to beat Highest Ground by a neck.

Unfortunately his form took a major dip off last season and he failed to win in any of his four runs.Being brushed aside by Waldkonig over 10 furlongs before stepping up in trip. His best run came in a Group Three to be second behind the impressive Al Aasy.

A good showing at Royal Ascot rounded out his season as he came a respectable fifth in the Hardwicke Stakes behind Wonderful Tonight, with the form of that race looking exceptional.

Gelded ready for this season he’s again failed to put his best foot forward. He’s slowly been moving up in trip and has run well over 13.5-14 furlongs albeit not winning, but being an unlucky loser in some big races.

Coming second to the impressive Hamish at Chester in the Ormonde Stakes, before a valiant second to Stradivarius in the Yorkshire Cup.

He was last seen trying two miles for the first time it looked like he was outclassed as he only managed to come home in fourth.

More is needed here but he might be able to bully this small field from the front and the drop back to this trip is a positive.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
17/08/22YOR16.5Gd9-125
26/07/22GOO16Gd9-116
09/07/22YOR14GF9-03
26/05/22SAN16Gd9-44
13/05/22YOR14Gd9-32
Newmarket (July) - July 08 2022
Newmarket (July) 13:40
7(1)
Jamie Spencer

Positive Impact

J: Jamie Spencer
T: Simon & Ed Crisford
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 8-9
OR: 86
Days: 11

Next up is the bet365 Handicap over a mile and the horse that takes the eye is the Simon & Ed Crisford trained Positive Impact.

Seen four times in his career with all of his runs coming this season as a three year old, he made his debut at Thirsk over a mile when a decent third of 14 and then backed that up with another placed effort at Leciester.

Back at Thirsk in June he bumped into another nice one when going down by a short head to Bay Of Honour, but last time out in just a two runner event got off the mark in emphatic style.

Making his handicap debut this afternoon off a mark of 86, this the sphere he will thrive him and meeting Bay Of Honour now on similar terms, at a bigger price he is the one worth backing.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
03/09/22THI8Sft9-42
20/08/22CHS7.5Gd8-82
30/07/22GOO7GF8-115
09/07/22NMK8GF8-92
28/06/22BRI7GF9-71
Ascot - July 08 2022
Ascot 14:00
11(3)
Kieran Shoemark

Equality

J: Kieran Shoemark
T: Charles Hills
N/A
Age: 4
Weight: 9-1
OR: 93
Days: 35

The first race of the afternoon from Ascot on Saturday is the Class 2 Handicap over five furlongs and with a huge field going to post we have two each way shouts.

The first is the Charlie Hills trained Equality who has been in some seriously smart form on all three of his runs this term.

Making his seasonal debut at Windsor over 5f on good to soft he landed a Class 4 Handicap off a mark of 82 by close to five lengths.

Seen twice more since then he was then a close up third in a hot handicap at Doncaster and then last time out at Epsom in the Dash on Derby day, finished a good third behind Tees Spirit.

1lb lower than that run for this event makes him one to watch.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
24/09/22HAY5GS9-51
01/09/22WDR5Gd9-122
26/07/22GOO5Gd9-210
09/07/22ASC5GF9-112
04/06/22EPS5Gd9-43
Ascot - July 08 2022
Ascot 14:00
19(14)
Liam Keniry

Get Ahead

J: Liam Keniry
T: Clive Cox
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 8-10
OR: 93
Days: 28

At a slightly bigger price is the Clive Cox trained Get Ahead and this filly has been knocking on the door all year and this could be her big chance to get her head in front.

Seen twice as a juvenile last term both times at Ascot over five furlongs, she made a winning start in a decent Maiden and was the sent into the royal meeting where she was sixth in the Group Two Queen Mary Stakes.

Not seen again as a juvenile, she returned in March this term at Kempton over 6f maybe just needing the run finishing back in third and she went to Bath in a decent Listed event and again finished a good third.

Making it a hat-trick of places in a Listed event at York, she was last seen in the Listed Scurry Stakes at Sandown when a close up fourth.

Running well in defeat all year and getting back to the scene of the only win of her career, she makes big appeal on handicap debut off a mark of 93.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
11/09/22LON5Sft8-99
28/07/22GOO5GF9-91
09/07/22ASC5GF8-1011
11/06/22SAN5Gd8-114
12/05/22YOR5Gd8-133
Newmarket (July) - July 08 2022
Newmarket (July) 14:15
5(4)
William Buick

Victory Dance

J: William Buick
T: Charlie Appleby
N/A
Age: 2
Weight: 9-3
OR: N/A
Days: 21

One of the big events of the afternoon is the Group Two Superlative Stakes and disappointingly this year only sees five runners go to post.

However it sees another strong selection from ourselves with Victory Dance for the Charlie Appleby stable looking a solid contender to take the race.

Making his debut over course and distance in the middle of June at Newmarket the 700,000gns son of Dubawi got off the mark seeing off a nice type for a John & Thady Gosden by a head.

The yard obviously thinks this lad is a bit special with Buick missing the Belmont Derby and Oaks to ride at Newmarket and also before the 48 decs stage they had another nice type primed to run but pulled him out in favour of Victory Dance.

That speaks volumes and having won three of the last four renewals of this race with the likes of Quorto, Master Of The Seas and Native Trail, he could be Godolphin's next big prodigy.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
13/08/22NBY7GF9-31
09/07/22NMK7GF9-32
18/06/22NMK7Gd9-71
Ascot - July 08 2022
Ascot 14:35
2(3)
Pat Dobbs

Chindit

J: Pat Dobbs
T: Richard Hannon
N/A
Age: 4
Weight: 9-3
OR: 113
Days: 25

The feature race of the afternoon at the Berkshire track on ITV is the Group Two Summer Mile Stakes and Chindit could be very tough to beat.

Richard Hannon’s colt looks a class above this field and is priced accordingly by the bookmakers to go and do the business.

A smart juvenile winning all three of his first races, including the Group Two Champagne Stakes over 7f at Doncaster on good ground.

The soft ground went against him in his last run as a two year old when well beaten in the G1 Dewhurst behind St Mark’s Basilica.

Returning as a three year old he landed the Greenham Stakes on debut at Newbury over 7f and then finished a good fifth in the Group One 2000 Guineas.

He was a fair fifth in the St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot behind similar horses and again showing he wasn’t quite a Group One miler he was fifth of nine in the Prix Jacques Le Marois.

Rounding off last season with a good fourth in the G2 Celebration Mile at Goodwood and then a better third back at Newmarket in another Group Two.

Back this term he made a winning start in the Listed Doncaster Mile Stakes winning easily and the last two times he has been seen finishing third of nine in the Group One Lockinge and fourth of seven in the Queen Anne Stakes behind Baaeed and Real World.

Classy performer that is tough to beat on form during his career.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
13/08/22NBY7GF9-118
27/07/22GOO8GF9-106
09/07/22ASC8GF9-31
14/06/22ASC8GF9-24
14/05/22NBY8Gd9-03
Newmarket (July) - July 08 2022
Newmarket (July) 14:50
17(7)
Kieran O'Neill

Samburu

J: Kieran O'Neill
T: John & Thady Gosden
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 8-5
OR: 97
Days: 21

One of the trickiest events on the card is the bet365 Bunbury Cup over seven furlongs and with 20 runners going to post we have picked out two each way selections.

The first is the John & Thady Gosden trained Samburu who has not done much wrong in his career to date and still on a mark of 97 could go on to be a better horse.

The son of Kingman scored on his sole juvenile run at Yarmouth over seven furlongs and was then put away for this term.

Making his seasonal debut at Salisbury over 7f, he made it 2/2 on extremely quick ground in a Novice Stakes and then seeking a hat-trick at York on Handicap debut he got the job done again.

Going up 9lb for his efforts he was last seen running a cracker to finish sixth in the Group Three Jersey Stakes and now back into handicap company off the same mark can't be ruled out with the yard in flying form.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
18/06/22ASC7GF9-36
11/05/22YOR7Gd9-91
20/04/22SAL7GF9-91
11/10/21YAR7GS9-51
Newmarket (July) - July 08 2022
Newmarket (July) 14:50
11(2)
Jack Mitchell

The Attorney

J: Jack Mitchell
T: Charles Hills
N/A
Age: 4
Weight: 8-10
OR: 94
Days: 14

At a slightly bigger price is the Charlie Hills trained The Attorney who has always been a horse that we have been fond of and we think this could have been the target for a long time.

A smart horse last term winning at Lingfield off a mark of 78 over 7f, he has been seen five more times since then in Class 3 and 2 Handicap events, finishing second in all but one of them.

Now up to a mark of 94 his last two runs at Goodwood and Newcastle have seen him back to his best and getting his ideal fast conditions he can't be ruled out at a price.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
13/08/22DON7GF10-11
27/07/22GOO7GF10-12
09/07/22NMK7GF8-105
25/06/22NCS7St/Slw9-02
05/06/22GOO7Gd10-22
York - July 08 2022
York 15:05
20(14)
Stevie Donohoe

Rogue Bear

J: Stevie Donohoe
T: Tom Clover
N/A
Age: 4
Weight: 8-10
OR: 91
Days: 57

Another nice event is the competitive John Smith's Handicap over 1m2f and with over 20 runners going to post we have played two against the field.

The first is the Tom Clover trained Rogue Bear who has been a seriously unlucky loser all season and we think Saturday could be his day to get his head in front.

Seen eight times in his career, he made his debut in April last year when winning over 6f at Doncaster on quick ground and then backed that up over the same C&D when third on soft ground.

Moved up to 7f at Ascot he was a fair fourth of eight on handicap debut and then when stepped up in trip in October at Nottingham he got back to winning ways taking out two decent handicaps over 8.5f.

Making his seasonal debut this term he finished a superb third of 22 in the Lincoln handicap off 87, drawn on the wrong side of the track and still managing to get involved only going down by two lengths.

Off the same mark he went to Newbury in the 17 runner Spring Cup and again ran a stormer to finish a narrow third in a three way photo behind Modern News.

Stepped up to 1m2f last time out over course and distance he hit trouble in running but flew home late to again go down by a head in second.

Now off a mark of 91 he still looks on a workable mark and with him due some luck in running, this could be his big day.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
28/08/22YAR10GF9-96
09/07/22YOR10.5GF8-1018
13/05/22YOR10.5Gd8-122
16/04/22NBY8Gd8-53
26/03/22DON8GS8-33
York - July 08 2022
York 15:05
7(3)
Harry Davies

Achelois

J: Harry Davies
T: Andrew Balding
N/A
Age: 4
Weight: 9-3
OR: 98
Days: 52

At a much bigger price and one to note is the Andrew Balding trained Achelois who was a prolific winner last term winning three decent events between May and July between seven and 10 furlongs at Newbury, Ascot and Goodwood.

Rounding off last season off a career high mark of 92 he finished a narrow third over course and distance behind the highly progressive Sea La Rosa and then put up two close fourths in big fielded events at Newmarket and Doncaster, the latter run in Listed company.

Back this season the four year old went to Epsom in April and was a neck second to course specialist Soto Sizzler in a good Class 2 Handicap.

Looking to back that up he was a well beaten fifth at Ayr in a Listed event that was emphatically won by My Astra who franked the form at Group One level next time out.

Off a mark of 98 back in handicap company having course and distance form in a similar event, he should be taken seriously, especially with talented claimer Harry Davies taking a valuable 5lb off.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
27/08/22WDR10GS9-45
22/07/22YOR10.5GF9-61
09/07/22YOR10.5GF8-122
18/05/22AYR10Sft9-25
19/04/22EPS10Gd9-12
Newmarket (July) - July 08 2022
Newmarket (July) 15:25
13(8)
Christophe Soumillon

Perfect Power

J: Christophe Soumillon
T: Richard Fahey
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 9-2
OR: 117
Days: 22

The final event of the afternoon from Newmarket is the feature race of the afternoon the Group One July Cup Stakes over six furlongs and with 14 going to post we have a win and each way selection.

The win selection is the Richard Fahey trained Perfect Power who is arguably the best sprinter in the game at the moment and it is going to take a special performance to beat him.

He was a superb two year old winning four of his six events including the Group Two Norfolk Stakes at last year's royal meeting, his first Group One in France in the Prix Morny and rounding off last term at Newmarket over 6f when taking the Middle Park Stakes.

This season his handler believed he would get further with the first part of his season setting him up for a crack at the 2000 Guineas.

He made his seasonal debut in the 7f Group Three Greenham Stakes at Newbury when seeing off a good field and not looking to have some stamina doubts.

However, stepped up to a mile he could only finish seventh of 15, not getting the trip but showing clear pace early on to make you think the drop back to 6f is where he is at his best.

The trainer was proved right to bring him back to his optimum trip last time out when going on to land the Group One Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot.

It was a superb performance and having seen off many of these in the field in the past, he looks solid once more.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
07/08/22DEA6.5GS9-07
09/07/22NMK6GF9-27
17/06/22ASC6GF9-21
30/04/22NMK8Gd9-07
16/04/22NBY7Gd9-01
Newmarket (July) - July 08 2022
Newmarket (July) 15:25
3(9)
William Buick

Creative Force

J: William Buick
T: Charlie Appleby
N/A
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
OR: 118
Days: 21

With extra places sure to be on offer with some bookmakers, Creative Force around the 6/1 mark looks a solid player to hit the frame.

The Charlie Appleby trained gelding has been a very progressive horse over the last two years or so, from winning four straight races at the start of last season including the Group Three Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot, to then mixing it with the big boys of Britain's sprinting division.

After winning the 18 runner event at the royal meeting he then finished a solid fifth of 19 in this Group One event last term.

He backed that up at Glorious Goodwood when a narrow second to mud lover Kinross over seven furlongs on soft ground in the Lennox Stakes.

Back over six furlongs on quicker ground he could only manage sixth in the Group One Sprint Cup at Haydock, but bounced back in a big way when at Ascot on British Champions Day, landing the Group One Champion Sprint Stakes.

Seen twice this term, he returned at Meydan on Dubai World Cup night in the Group One Al Quoz Sprint and ran no race but bounced back to form last time out at Royal Ascot when going down by a neck to stablemate Naval Crown in the G1 Platinum Jubilee Stakes.

He holds leading Group One form heading into the race and can't be underestimated.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
09/07/22NMK6GF9-84
18/06/22ASC6GF9-52
26/03/22MEY6Gd9-014
16/10/21ASC6GS9-11
04/09/21HAY6GF9-16
York - July 08 2022
York 15:40
9(8)
David Allan

Winter Power

J: David Allan
T: Tim Easterby
N/A
Age: 4
Weight: 8-10
OR: 114
Days: 25

The final event of the afternoon on ITV is the Listed City Walls Stakes and the super quick mare Winter Power is looking to land back to back renewals of the race.

The Tim Easterby trained mare has been a superb stable star over the last few years taking this race last year and then going on to land the Group One Nunthorpe Stakes in emphatic fashion.

However, since that run and away from York she has been extremely below par in some tough Group One races in France, Ireland and England.

We are rating her on Saturday on her York form and if there was ever a race that could see her get back to her best it is this Listed contest.

During her career she has raced four times on the Knavesmire and won three of them, she might just turn out to be a horse that does her best work at this track and on Saturday she can show that.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
19/08/22YOR5GF9-1213
09/07/22YOR5GF8-106
14/06/22ASC5GF9-414
21/05/22HAY5Gd9-38
03/10/21LON5Hy9-78

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