Breeders' Cup Saturday Preview - 07/11/20

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Keeneland - November 07 2020
Keeneland 16:20
10(10)
Irad Ortiz Jr

Motivated Seller

J:
 
Irad Ortiz Jr
T:
 
Chad C Brown
Age: 3
Weight: 8-6
OR: N/A

Chad Brown’s filly will need to be sharply away from stall 10 but she looks to have a big chance in the Qatar Fort Springs Stakes.

This daughter of Into Mischief is two from two so far, with her recent smooth success at Belmont Park earning her a step up in grade.

Merneith sets the standard on some of her form, notably her third in the Sant Anita Oaks, but our selection in the unexposed option who looks open to the most improvement

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
07/11/20KEE6Fs8-62
12/01/20GUL6Fs8-81
Keeneland - November 07 2020
Keeneland 17:02
4

Gamine

J:
 
T:
 
Bob Baffert
Age: 3
Weight: 8-10
OR: N/A
Days: 64

The drop back to 7f looks the right move for Kentucky Oaks third Gamine.

This star filly was all the rage heading into the big race unbeaten, but she evidently didn’t get the trip and she has stall 2 to ping out of on her return to 7f.

Hard to catch.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
07/11/20KEE7Fs8-101
04/09/20CHU9Fs8-93
08/08/20SAR7Fs8-111
20/06/20BLM8Fs8-81
02/05/20OAK8.5Fs8-7DSQ
Keeneland - November 07 2020
Keeneland 17:39
14(14)
Umberto Rispoli

Extravagant Kid

J:
 
Umberto Rispoli
T:
 
Brendan P Walsh
Age: 7
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 35

A high draw isn’t as bad as it seems over this trip and Extravagant Kid looks a fair price at 20/1 out of stall 13.

Brendan Walsh’s 7-y-o has been around the block, which can prove fruitful in this race, and he is four-times the price of the favourite who he wasn’t far behind last time out.

If they take each other on up-front he should be finishing well down the outside.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
07/11/20KEE5.5Gd9-04
03/10/20KEE5.5Fm8-82
04/09/20CHU5.5Gd8-92
11/07/20KEE5.5Fm8-95
29/05/20CHU5Fm8-91
Keeneland - November 07 2020
Keeneland 18:18
3

Complexity

J:
 
T:
 
Chad C Brown
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 35

Michael McCarthy was victorious in this race with City Of Light in 2018, so Rushie has to be feared at a price, however Complexity is taken to defy stall 10 for Chad Brown.

4-y-o’s have won seven of the previous thirteen renewals and his recent victory over Code Of Honour is a strong piece of form.

He has already won five of his nine career starts and is seemingly still progressing.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
03/10/20BLM8Fs8-71
29/08/20SAR7S8-62
02/07/20BLM8Fs8-81
28/12/19SNA7Fs8-84
20/11/19AQU7Fs8-61
Keeneland - November 07 2020
Keeneland 18:57
10

Rushing Fall

J:
 
T:
 
Chad C Brown
Age: 5
Weight: 8-12
OR: N/A
Days: 76

The UK and Irish raiders have a strong hand here with the likes of Peaceful, Terrebellum and Cayenne Pepper all present in the top of the market, but Chad Brown has an equally strong hand and Rushing Fall looks the pick.

This 5-y-o mare put in a career best when fending off Mean Mary in the Diana Stakes and she has been birthed in stall 6 as she aims to confirm that form.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
23/08/20SAR9Fm8-121
11/07/20KEE8.5Fm8-61
03/06/20BLM8.5Fm8-121
05/10/19KEE8Fm8-124
13/07/19SAR9Gd8-122
Keeneland - November 07 2020
Keeneland 19:36
1(1)
Ricardo Santana Jr

Echo Town

J:
 
Ricardo Santana Jr
T:
 
Steven Asmussen
Age: 3
Weight: 8-12
OR: N/A

Steve Asmussen took this with Mitole last year and he has strong claims with the favourite Yaupon, but at a massive price Echo Town is worth an e/w bet from stall 1.

This 3-y-o colt has some strong form to his name and his trainer said the following on his recent defeat: “The difference in him then and this week is exciting. He just feels, better, sharper, quicker.”

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
02/10/20KEE6Fs8-103
05/09/20CHU8Fs8-115
01/08/20SAR7Fs8-81
20/06/20BLM7Fs8-82
25/05/20CHU6Fs8-61
Keeneland - November 07 2020
Keeneland 20:15
1(1)
Ryan Moore

Circus Maximus

J:
 
Ryan Moore
T:
 
A P O'Brien
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 21

Aidan O’Brien has been bullish about the chances of chances of this colt in the build up.

He ran a blinder when fourth in the race last year and his record over 1m is exceptional.

Both Siskin and Kameko finished behind him when getting 8lb in the Sussex Stakes and he is now much better off at the weights.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
17/10/20ASC8Sft9-40
06/09/20LON8Gd9-33
16/08/20DEA8Hy9-43
29/07/20GOO8Gd9-82
16/06/20ASC8GS9-01
Keeneland - November 07 2020
Keeneland 21:33
3(3)
Colin Keane

Tarnawa

J:
 
Colin Keane
T:
 
D K Weld
Age: 4
Weight: 8-11
OR: N/A
Days: 34

Four year old’s have won three of the previous four renewals and Europe have won nine of the last twelve, therefore Tarnawa can’t be dismissed for Dermot Weld and Aga Khan.

This filly has had an unbelievable season winning two Group1s on her last two starts, with her victory over Alpine Star looking a standout piece of form, and she evidently hasn’t finished progressing.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
04/10/20LON10Hy9-21
13/09/20LON12Gd9-51
08/08/20COR12Gd9-111
19/10/19ASC11.5Sft8-139
15/09/19CUR10GF9-01
Keeneland - November 07 2020
Keeneland 22:13
2(2)
Manuel Franco

Tiz The Law

J:
 
Manuel Franco
T:
 
Barclay Tagg
Age: 3
Weight: 8-10
OR: N/A
Days: 62

Tiz The Law is taken to bounce back from his defeat in the Kentucky Derby for Barclay Tagg.

This star is very fast out the gate so he should take a handy position from stall 2 which would make him a tough nut to crack.

Some of his victories this season have been brilliant and if he can reproduce those efforts he should have enough in hand with the useful 3-y-o allowance.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
05/09/20CHU10Fs9-02
08/08/20SAR10Fs9-01
20/06/20BLM9Fs9-01
28/03/20GUL9Fs8-101
01/02/20GUL8.5Fs8-121
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