Ballymore Novices Hurdle Trends

quevega cheltenham ruby

Ballymore Novices Hurdle Trends 2022

Day two of the festival opens with novice hurdlers competing over 2 miles and 5 furlongs. Superstars like Faugheen and Envoi Allen have taken this race in years gone by and last year the race was won by the superstar Bob Olinger

Having had a dominant favourite take the race last year, it could be the case again at the 2022 festival with Sir Gerhard now as short as 11/8.

We will be looking whether the stats and trends over the last few years uncover which horses are more likely to go on and win the race.

Stat One

First off, each of the previous 15 winners were aged five or six years old.

It’s an obvious starting point to start drawing up a shortlist, despite the four year olds getting a weight allowance for age, they just struggle to be competitive here.

This holds up for those aged 7+ too, Champ was just held on the run in two years back and continued the poor run of those out of the age bracket and before that Decor Irlandais also finished down the field.

Favourite Sir Gerhard looks the only seven year old heading to post in this race and that makes him slightly vulnerable.

Stat Two

As with most big money high profile races, class shows itself prominently. All of the previous 15 winners have been rated 131 or more.

13 of the last 13 winners have been rated 142 or more. Finally, each of the last 10 winners were rated 146 or more.

As the years have gone by the race has seemingly gotten more competitive and those who are proven in the ratings are standing head and shoulders above the rest.

146 would look to be the basement mark to work with. Those rated lower just won’t be of the quality needed if it is a good renewal of the race.

We still have to wait for the handicappers assessment of the Irish contingent but native runners below the threshold can be scratched off the shortlists.

Stat Three

Coming into the festival on form proves handy again in the Ballymore, with 14 of the last 15 runners being placed in the top two on their prep run.

In fact all of the last 14 winners were placed top two on the run before Cheltenham, so you should really be looking for those with a good run behind them before lining up here.

Most of those prominent in the betting ran well last time out, if you’re scouting for one at a big price keep in mind they ideally need to have put in a good performance before the festival.

Stat Four

An interesting angle to consider is 12 of the previous 15 winners didn’t run in the previous year’s Punchestown festival.

Furthermore, 11 of the 15 had never run at the Cheltenham Festival before and for the most part the winners of the Ballymore were not contesting the big profile bumpers in the previous season.

Again, like many of these trends Envoi Allen did not go along with this trend having won the Champion Bumper the year before at the festival.

However, Bob Olinger last year did stick to this and putting all this together again singles out Sir Gerhard as being vulnerable.

Something to keep in mind is only 1 of the previous 12 winners had a win at Cheltenham, course form maybe doesn’t ring true in this race.

Stat Five

With this contest being over an extended two and a half mile trip, stamina plays an important role.

12 of the last 15 winners had a win at two miles and three and a half furlongs.

You have to be able to stay the trip, so look for those who have notched up a win this season over the noted distance before adding them to any shortlists.

A lot of these stats will not be good for backers of Sir Gerhard, and that could see a bigger priced winner of the race this year.

Stat Six

Finally, class of previous races shows itself as potentially misleading in this race as nine of the last 15 winners were not a previous Grade One winner.

The winner of the Ballymore can come from those who are less proven on the big stage, but this trend has not held up for the last two year's with Envoi Allen and Bob Olinger both winning the Grade One Lawlor's Of Naas Novice Hurdle on route to Prestbury Park.

Although there have been some high class winners of the race in the past, don’t be too put off by a runner who’s yet to dip their toe in graded company but still performing to a high level.

This trend plays to the strengths of the likes of Journey With Me.

Value Angle

The seven year old Sir Gerhard was a smart bumper horse last term, landing his first three events in taking style including winning the Champion Bumper, he rounded off last season with a tame third at the Punchestown festival.

Sent hurdling this term the £400,000 purchase won a 18 runner maiden at Leopardstown on Boxing Day and then last time out over the same course and distance landed the Grade One Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle at the Dublin Racing Festival.

He steps up to 2m5f for the first time in his career but having won over three miles comfortably in his point to point he should get the trip and he looks the class angle against the field.

Free Bets & Offers


🔵 £40 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP WHEN YOU PLACE A £10 BET ON HORSE RACING 🔵
NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY. FIRST SINGLE & E/W BET ONLY. £10 MINIMUM STAKE. ODDS OF 1/1 OR GREATER. 4 X £10 BET TOKEN. FREE BET STAKES NOT INCLUDED IN RETURNS. FREE BETS FOR FOOTBALL ONLY. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. NO FREE BET EXPIRY. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND FURTHER T&CS APPLY. 18+. BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG.
Claim Now
⚫️ BET £30 ON HORSE RACING, GET A £30 FREE BET FOR THE WORLD CUP PLUS 20 FREE SPINS! ⚫️
New customers only aged 21+. Minimum deposit £10. Qualifying bet must be placed at odds of evens (2.0) or greater. Get a matched Free bet up to £30 plus 20 Free Spins on Fishin’ Frenzy The Big Catch, credited within 24 hours. Free Bet and Spins expire in 7 days. Additional T&Cs apply. Please bet responsibly.
Claim Now
🐎 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET £40 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP (MOBILE ONLY) 🐎
18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code Z40 only, Min £10/€10 stake, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 4 x £10/€10, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. #ad
Claim Now
🟢 GET £40 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU PLACE A £10 BET ON FOOTBALL + PLUS AN EXTRA £5 BET BUILDER 🟢
Place a single £10 bet on any Football market, at min. odds 1/2 (1.5) - Get £40 in Free bets on bet settlement, valid 30 days + an extra £5 Free Football Bet Builder will be available to claim from the promotions hub. Only deposits via Cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+.
Claim Now
👋 50% UP TO £50 WELCOME BONUS 👋
18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 50% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; See full terms; See full terms; Terms apply; 18+
Claim Now
🔸 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING AND GET £30 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP! 🔸
New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get £30 in Free Bets. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
Claim Now
🟣 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET £60 FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP! 🟣
New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+). First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
⚫️ £30 MATCHED FREE BET IF YOUR FIRST ACCA LOSES + 50 BONUS SPINS ⚫️
*New UK customers only. Min Deposit: £5. Maximum Free Bet: £30. First bet on a Football or Horse Racing multiple with 3+ selections. Overall odds: 3.00 (2/1) or higher. Free Bets available upon settlement of the qualifying bet. This is offer is valid for 7 days from your new account being registered. 50 Bonus Spins credited on placement of qualifying Acca bet.50x bonus wagering applies as do weighting requirements, bonus Spins only available on selected games and expires 7 days after being awarded. Debit card deposits only (exclusions apply). 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Bet The Responsible Way. Full terms apply. 18+.
Claim Now
🟢 BET £10 AND GET £50 IN FREE BETS FOR HORSE RACING! 🟡
For new customers. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
🔵 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET A £10 FREE BET FOR THE WORLD CUP! 🔵
18+ / BEGAMBLEAWARE / NEW UK CUSTOMERS ONLY / £10+ DEPOSIT & BET TO QUALIFY / FREE BET VALID FOR 7 DAYS / NO E-WALLETS / PREPAID CARDS / T&CS APPLY
Claim Now
🟠 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET £20 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP! ⚫️
New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from crediting (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Claim Now
🟩 DEPOSIT & BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET £30 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP 🟩
New UK, IE & Malta customers only. 18+. Min £10/€10 first deposit using Debit Card or Trustly. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 1.5. Free bets expire in 90 days. Full T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
🔵 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET £20 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP + ACCA REWARDS OF YOUR CHOICE! 🔵
New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&C's Apply **18+. Choose either Boost or Insurance. Available for in-play/pre-match bets on selected sports. You cannot use specials, boosts, any free bet or any other promotion. A minimum of 5 selections and minimum odds of 1/5 per selection/leg to receive Acca Rewards. Minimum stake of £/€0.05. Max free bet refund of £/€20 per Acca for Insurance. Maximum bonus payout is €/£1,000 per Acca for boost. Free bets, cashed out or voided bets will not qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
🔵 GET £20 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP WHEN YOU BET £5 ON HORSE RACING! 🔵
18+ New UK & ROI Customers only. Min deposit £5. Min first £5 bet at minimum odds 1/2 to qualify for 1x 20 free bet. Certain deposit methods and bet types excl. Free bet valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
🔴 GET £20 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP WHEN YOU BET £5 ON HORSE RACING! 🔴
18+ New UK+IRE Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
🎩 BET £5 & GET £30 IN BONUSES TO USE ON HORSE RACING 🎩
18+ New customers only. Opt in and bet £5 on any Horse Racing market at odds 2.00+ in 7 days. No cash out. Get 6x £5 Horse Racing free bets + £5 slot bonus, 20x wagering to withdraw max £250. Free bets expire in 24h and bonuses in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply, see below. | begambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly
Claim Now
❇️ UP TO £40 MONEY BACK AS BONUSES IF YOUR FIRST HORSE RACING BET LOSES + £10 CASINO BONUS!!! ❇️
18+ begambleaware.org. New customers only. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus if first racing bet loses. Wagering: sportsbook 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), casino 50x. Sports bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. Full T&Cs apply. #Ad.
Claim Now
🔹 GET £30 IN BONUSES FOR THE WORLD CUP WHEN YOU BET £5 ON HORSE RACING! 🔹
18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £5 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days of registering, no cashout. Get 2x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus a £10 Slot Bonus, selected games, wager 20x to withdraw max £250. 7 day bonus expiry. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. begambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly
Claim Now
🔷 GET £66 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP WHEN YOU BET £19 ON HORSE RACING 🔷
Full T&Cs Apply. New customers only. Stake min amount of £19 (odds 1.8 or greater) on any sporting event. Promotion available between 14/11/22 - 01/12/22. Max 4 x £10, 4 x £5, 1x £6 Free Bets credited on qualifying bet settlement on selected events. 1x claim per customer. Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Each Way bets, system bets and profit boost are not permitted for qualifying bet. Free bets are non-withdrawable & not returned with winnings. Free bets expire after 7 days of qualifying bet settlement. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.
Claim Now
🌟 GET A FREE BET UP TO £35 FOR THE HORSE RACING + 10 FREE SPINS 🌟
If your account has Sportsbook losses at the end of your first day's betting, QuinnBet will refund 50% of your losses as a Free Bet up to £35 (min 3 bets) Plus 10 Free online casino spins at QuinnCasino. Even if your account is up, you're guaranteed a £5 Free Bet Plus 10 Free Spins provided you place at least 1 bet of £10 or greater at the minimum odds. T&Cs apply | 18+ New UK Customers Only | BeGambleAware.org
Claim Now