Belmont Derby And Oaks Weekend Preview & Double

James Mackie | @jamesmackieee

Belmont Park - July 08 2022
Belmont Park 20:06
3(3)
Flavien Prat

Haughty

J: Flavien Prat
T: Chad C Brown
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 8-9
OR: N/A
Days: 35

(E/W Double Leg 2) Chad Brown has dominated this event in recent years taking out five the last ten renewals and he arrives with a typically strong three-pronged attack with Haughty, McKulick & Consumer Spending all expected to line up.

Both sporting the famous Klaravich Stables silks, the latter two both hold valid claims, however it is the former which earns our vote at 4/1 with bet365.

Haughty bolted up on her debut here over 1m (DQ’d) and she subsequently backed that up with another facile victory, making easy work of what was admittedly a below-average Maiden Special Weight event at Keeneland.

She then stepped up in grade at the Breeders Cup where she tackled the Juvenile Fillies Turf.The fact she was thrown in so deep on just her third career start suggests she is held in the highest regard and the money spoke volumes with her being clipped into around 4/1 from double that price.

Tyler Gaffalione had to use some petrol early in the race to manoeuvre from stall 11 therefore her finishing position can be marked up, and the manner in which she rattled home suggests she will have no issues getting the 10f.

As always, the form of that race has worked out well (Pizza Bianca, Cachet, Malavath, Consumer Spending), and she proved she is still in good health when bolting up on return at Penn National.

That race was always a prep for this, but she did it impressively, and the manner in which she was finishing on soft ground further enhanced her likelihood to cope with the longer journey.

Her lightly-raced profile provides optimism for improvement this year and she has been handed an ideal draw.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
20/08/22SAR8.5Fm8-81
09/07/22BLM10Fm8-99
03/06/22PEN8Sft8-41
05/11/21DMA8Fm8-103
17/10/21KEE8.5Gd8-71
Belmont Park - July 08 2022
Belmont Park 21:12
10(10)
Frankie Dettori

Nations Pride

J: Frankie Dettori
T: Charlie Appleby
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 8-10
OR: N/A
Days: 35

(E/W Double Leg 1) Aidan O’Brien has landed this event twice since 2016 therefore it will be interesting to see how Derrinstown winner Stone Age performs, however it is another UK-raider that tops our shortlist, with Charlie Appleby’s Nations Pride representing value at the current 4/1 with bet365.

Godolphin supplemented this colt for Epsom with Buick choosing to ride so he is evidently thought to be top class and we believe you can draw a line through that race, for all it wasn’t the worst of efforts finishing eight of thirteen in a Classic.

Out of an Oasis Dream mare, this colt was never guaranteed to stay 12f, and the speed he showed when bolting up in the Newmarket Stakes would probably point to 10f being his optimum.

The second that day has since finished second in the Derby and been sold for a fortune, so a 7l thrashing of that horse augurs well, and he has proved he can travel having won at Meydan in February.

Stall 10 wouldn’t be the pick of the bunch but he still has three on his outside and Frankie Dettori has been booked to ride.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
17/09/22BBA12Fm8-101
06/08/22SAR9.5Fm8-101
09/07/22BLM10Fm8-102
04/06/22EPS12Gd9-28
29/04/22NMK10Gd9-01
Belmont Park - July 08 2022
Belmont Park 21:12
12(12)
Jose L Ortiz

Limited Liability

J: Jose L Ortiz
T: Claude R McGaughey III
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 8-10
OR: N/A
Days: 35

We also have an outside fancy in the Belmont Derby with a 20/1 chance catching the eye having much better claims than his price-tag suggests.

Limited Liability is a colt on the upgrade and he is the one horse in the race that will be flashing home if they do go too hard at the front-end.

He passed them all to win a shade-cosily at Keeneland on return and his most recent third in the Grade 1 Pennine Ridge Stakes saw him finish a never-nearer third behind Emmanuel (7/1) & Napoleonic War (12/1).

His price differential compared to those rivals today isn’t entirely justified, especially with them tackling an extra 1f, therefore he is chanced in hope of a pace collapse.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
04/06/22BLM9Fm8-63
16/04/22KEE8.5Gd8-51
03/10/21BLM8.5Fm8-83
01/09/21SAR8.5Fm8-103
31/07/21SAR8.5Gd8-71