The November Novices' Chase, currently known as the Racing Post Arkle Trophy Trial Novices' Chase, is a Grade 2 National Hunt Chase, open to horses aged four years or older, exclusive to novices. It is run on the Old Course at Cheltenham, over a distance of about 2 miles, with twelve fences to jump. In the last sixteen years, there are been many common trends in this race.
Firstly, age and experience. 14 of the last 16 runnings had been won by a novice under six years old, with the same number having run within the last six weeks. 13 of the last 16 had raced at Cheltenham previously, bringing with them track experience, with again, the same number only having had raced over fences once previously. 10 of the last 16 winners had also won their most recent race outing, all of which came over fences.
In terms of the betting, favourites have won nine of the last 16 renewals, with another four placing. 14 of the last 16 winners had also come from the top 3 in the market, with the same number of winners being priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting.
The Brits usually dominate, with Paul Nicholls winning six of the last ten runnings of the race, and Philip Hobbs winning three of the last 16. The Irish as a whole however, have only collected four of the last sixteen renewals.
Nine of the last 16 ran in the Arkle Chase at the Festival later that season, with one going onto win it (Azertyuiop, 2002), however three did not use their experience to their advantage, by falling in the Arkle later that season.