Turners Novices' Chase Trends

envoi

Turners Novices' Chase Trends 2022

The first race of the day on the Thursday which sees a host of Grade One action again is the Turners Novices' Chase and with this seasons contest looking like a minefield with plenty of big names still in the hat we have some key trends that will help you out.

There are many horses still in the entries that could possibly end up in the Arkle or the RSA Chase with connections and trainers needing to make their minds up on whether their horses can stay this trip.

The two mile three and a half furlongs event has been renamed again, usually well known as the JLT Novices Chase, then to the Marsh, it is now the Turners' and this season it could be one of the races of the festival.

Stat One

Firstly, there is one big common trend that seems to be close to foolproof with the 10 of the last 11 winners of the Grade One being either six or seven years of age.

Although, in 2020 this stat was not followed with the eight year old Samcro narrowly winning the event from Melon in a photo-finish.

Majority of the field for this year's event all fit this bill, but the likes of Jungle Boogie, Haut En Couleurs, Riviere D'etel and Saint Sam all do not and even though all are not likely to head for this race, with current entries they may find it tough off the back of this stat.

Stat Two

Another key element to the contest over the last 11 years is that the last 10 winners during this period were rated 146+ by the handicapper.

This would mean that the majority of the horses that are set to go to post would be in with a chance as you would not really be expected to be running in a Grade One contest if you were on a lesser mark then 146.

However, adding to that, four of the last seven winners were rated 152+ and this does marginally not help some horses at the top of the market, however, last years winner Chantry House was only off 151.

Stat Three

A very useful thing to know about horses heading into this contest is that eight of the last 11 winners won on their final start before heading to the festival.

However, if the horse you fancy did not win last time out, but did finish second this can still be a good factor going into the contest with 10 out of the last 11 winners were seen finishing in the top two on their final start.

The top six runners in the market from Bob Olinger all the way down to 10/1 shot Jungle Boogie all finished in the top two last time out.

However, for horses like Haut En Couleurs, Saint Sam and Fury Road they might be struggling having a below par run last time out.

Stat Four

Horses for courses is a big thing when it comes to the Cheltenham festival and especially in this event as 10 of the last 11 winners had ran at the four day event in previous seasons.

With that in mind eight of the last nine winners had ran in a Grade One Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival which looks to be a strong stepping stone for this contest.

Staying along the hurdles route which seems to be a huge factor in seeking the winner of this contest is that eight of the last nine victors had won a Graded Hurdle race previously in their careers, with Chantry House letting this stat down last year.

This strongly supports the favourites Bob Olinger and Galopin Des Champs having won Grade One events over hurdles last term and also winning at the festival.

This goes against third favourite L'Homme Presse.

Stat Five

The Aintree festival for some races is a good stat with horses winning at the festival and then doing the same at the Grand National meeting, however in this contest Nine of the last 11 winners never ran at the previous Aintree Festival.

Stat Six

The final stat of the contest is all about the master hall of fame trainer Willie Mullins who has been overly successful in this contest with four of the last 11 winners being trained by the handler.

He has not the won the race now since 2017 with Yorkhill, but holds leading claims with Galopin Des Champs who looks to have been rerouted here.

Gordon Elliott is also a trainer with a decent record in the race, landing two of the last four renewals with Shattered Love and Samcro, but this year he does not look to have a really strong hand in the race.

Value Angle

The value this year seems to come from the second favourite Galopin Des Champs, hitting most of the trends you need to win the race and having proved more over fences then the superstar Bob Olinger has to date, he looks the bet at odds against.

Mullins has a great record in the race and although it is set to be a superbly tight spectacle, at this stage Galopin Des Champs represents the value.

Free Bets & Offers


👋 50% UP TO £50 WELCOME BONUS 👋
18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 50% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; See full terms; See full terms; Terms apply; 18+
Claim Now
🟢 BET £10 AND GET £50 IN FREE BETS FOR HORSE RACING! 🟡
For new customers. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
BLACK FRIDAY DEAL - GET RACINGTV THIS WEEKEND ONLY FOR £10 PER MONTH FOR A YEAR!
Join Racing TV for just £10 / €12 per month* for the next 12 months - a huge saving for the year of £179 or €228. This offer is available until midnight, Sunday 27th November, so don't miss out.
Claim Now
🔵 £40 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP WHEN YOU PLACE A £10 BET ON HORSE RACING 🔵
NEW CUSTOMERS ONLY. FIRST SINGLE & E/W BET ONLY. £10 MINIMUM STAKE. ODDS OF 1/1 OR GREATER. 4 X £10 BET TOKEN. FREE BET STAKES NOT INCLUDED IN RETURNS. FREE BETS FOR FOOTBALL ONLY. FREE BETS ARE NON WITHDRAWABLE. NO FREE BET EXPIRY. ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AND FURTHER T&CS APPLY. 18+. BEGAMBLEAWARE.ORG.
Claim Now
🐎 GET £35 IN FREE BETS + A £10 FREE MULTIPLE WHEN YOU BET £10 ON HORSE RACING 🐎
Place a £10 bet on Horse racing at min. odds 1/5 (1.2) — get £35 in free bets + £10 free Horse Racing Multiples Bet. Only deposits via cards will qualify, Apple pay not valid on this promotion. T&Cs apply. 18+.
Claim
⚫️ £30 MATCHED FREE BET IF YOUR FIRST ACCA LOSES + 50 BONUS SPINS ⚫️
*New UK customers only. Min Deposit: £5. Maximum Free Bet: £30. First bet on a Football or Horse Racing multiple with 3+ selections. Overall odds: 3.00 (2/1) or higher. Free Bets available upon settlement of the qualifying bet. This is offer is valid for 7 days from your new account being registered. 50 Bonus Spins credited on placement of qualifying Acca bet.50x bonus wagering applies as do weighting requirements, bonus Spins only available on selected games and expires 7 days after being awarded. Debit card deposits only (exclusions apply). 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Bet The Responsible Way. Full terms apply. 18+.
Claim Now
🟢 GET £40 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU PLACE A £10 BET ON FOOTBALL + PLUS AN EXTRA £5 BET BUILDER 🟢
Place a single £10 bet on any Football market, at min. odds 1/2 (1.5) - Get £40 in Free bets on bet settlement, valid 30 days + an extra £5 Free Football Bet Builder will be available to claim from the promotions hub. Only deposits via Cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+.
Claim Now
🟣 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET £60 FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP! 🟣
New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+). First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
🔵 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET A £10 FREE BET FOR THE WORLD CUP! 🔵
18+ / BEGAMBLEAWARE / NEW UK CUSTOMERS ONLY / £10+ DEPOSIT & BET TO QUALIFY / FREE BET VALID FOR 7 DAYS / NO E-WALLETS / PREPAID CARDS / T&CS APPLY
Claim Now
🟠 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET £20 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP! ⚫️
New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from crediting (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Claim Now
⚫️ BET £30 ON HORSE RACING, GET A £30 FREE BET FOR THE WORLD CUP PLUS 20 FREE SPINS! ⚫️
New customers only aged 21+. Minimum deposit £10. Qualifying bet must be placed at odds of evens (2.0) or greater. Get a matched Free bet up to £30 plus 20 Free Spins on Fishin’ Frenzy The Big Catch, credited within 24 hours. Free Bet and Spins expire in 7 days. Additional T&Cs apply. Please bet responsibly.
Claim Now
🟩 DEPOSIT & BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET £30 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP 🟩
New UK, IE & Malta customers only. 18+. Min £10/€10 first deposit using Debit Card or Trustly. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 1.5. Free bets expire in 90 days. Full T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
🔵 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING & GET £20 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP + ACCA REWARDS OF YOUR CHOICE! 🔵
New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&C's Apply **18+. Choose either Boost or Insurance. Available for in-play/pre-match bets on selected sports. You cannot use specials, boosts, any free bet or any other promotion. A minimum of 5 selections and minimum odds of 1/5 per selection/leg to receive Acca Rewards. Minimum stake of £/€0.05. Max free bet refund of £/€20 per Acca for Insurance. Maximum bonus payout is €/£1,000 per Acca for boost. Free bets, cashed out or voided bets will not qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
🔵 GET £20 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP WHEN YOU BET £5 ON HORSE RACING! 🔵
18+ New UK & ROI Customers only. Min deposit £5. Min first £5 bet at minimum odds 1/2 to qualify for 1x 20 free bet. Certain deposit methods and bet types excl. Free bet valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
🔴 GET £20 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP WHEN YOU BET £5 ON HORSE RACING! 🔴
18+ New UK+IRE Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply.
Claim Now
🎩 BET £5 & GET £30 IN BONUSES TO USE ON HORSE RACING 🎩
18+ New customers only. Opt in and bet £5 on any Horse Racing market at odds 2.00+ in 7 days. No cash out. Get 6x £5 Horse Racing free bets + £5 slot bonus, 20x wagering to withdraw max £250. Free bets expire in 24h and bonuses in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply, see below. | begambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly
Claim Now
❇️ UP TO £40 MONEY BACK AS BONUSES IF YOUR FIRST HORSE RACING BET LOSES + £10 CASINO BONUS!!! ❇️
18+ begambleaware.org. New customers only. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus if first racing bet loses. Wagering: sportsbook 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), casino 50x. Sports bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. Full T&Cs apply. #Ad.
Claim Now
🔹 GET £30 IN BONUSES FOR THE WORLD CUP WHEN YOU BET £5 ON HORSE RACING! 🔹
18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £5 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days of registering, no cashout. Get 2x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus a £10 Slot Bonus, selected games, wager 20x to withdraw max £250. 7 day bonus expiry. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. begambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly
Claim Now
🔷 GET £66 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP WHEN YOU BET £19 ON HORSE RACING 🔷
Full T&Cs Apply. New customers only. Stake min amount of £19 (odds 1.8 or greater) on any sporting event. Promotion available between 14/11/22 - 01/12/22. Max 4 x £10, 4 x £5, 1x £6 Free Bets credited on qualifying bet settlement on selected events. 1x claim per customer. Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Each Way bets, system bets and profit boost are not permitted for qualifying bet. Free bets are non-withdrawable & not returned with winnings. Free bets expire after 7 days of qualifying bet settlement. 18+ BeGambleAware.org.
Claim Now
🌟 GET A FREE BET UP TO £35 FOR THE HORSE RACING + 10 FREE SPINS 🌟
If your account has Sportsbook losses at the end of your first day's betting, QuinnBet will refund 50% of your losses as a Free Bet up to £35 (min 3 bets) Plus 10 Free online casino spins at QuinnCasino. Even if your account is up, you're guaranteed a £5 Free Bet Plus 10 Free Spins provided you place at least 1 bet of £10 or greater at the minimum odds. T&Cs apply | 18+ New UK Customers Only | BeGambleAware.org
Claim Now
🔸 BET £10 ON HORSE RACING AND GET £30 IN FREE BETS FOR THE WORLD CUP! 🔸
New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get £30 in Free Bets. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
Claim Now