The Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle (Boodles) is a race that is truly a minefield for punters but we are hoping these trends can point you in the right direction.
The Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle (Boodles) is a race that is truly a minefield for punters but we are hoping these trends can point you in the right direction.
First, establishing the bracket of ratings you want to focus on in the handicap.
11 of the last 14 winners were rated 125-134. It’s a solid starting point to start sifting through the four year olds that will be entered.
Last years winner Jeff Kidder was in the highlighted bracket with a rating of 125, with the 80/1 shot very much overlooked in the market at the bottom of the weights.
Coming into the festival off the back of a decent run looks to be handy as nine of the last 14 winners came into the Fred Winter after a top 4 finish.
Look for those who’ve recently shown themselves well, despite the fact that a good run probably means a rise in the weights.
A steady improver lying in the previously mentioned rating bracket is ideal.
Last years winner was an anomaly to this.
Ensure to check the breeding of your selection as 12 of the last 14 winners have been bred either in France or Ireland.
The home bred juveniles haven’t been up to scratch in recent years so it’s worth looking at those from abroad.
Of the last 11 winners all have ticked the aforementioned trend.
Six of them have been Irish, four of them French. Bear in mind where you selection has come from before they carry your money.
It could pay to look for those contesting a better quality of race before heading into the Fred Winter.
Nine of the last 14 winners had run in a class 2 race or better before lining up here.
Eight of the 14 had run in a listed or better race before coming to Cheltenham.
Keep an eye out for those who’ve been proven themselves in a better quality of race in their preparations and are now dropping in class.
Further digging into the breeding of the entries could yield some helpful information too as nine of the last 14 winners had been sired by a Group One flat winner.
More digging into the sire form is needed as four of the last seven winners had been sired by a one mile four furlong Group One winner.
If you can spot those entered who have a touch of class in their breeding, especially from highlighted distance winners, you could be on to a winner.
The value in the betting is the Gordon Elliott trained Britzka off a mark of 130 the four year old fits the trend for ratings and having finished in to the top four last time out that is another trend ticked.
He is Irish bred and has ran in a Grade Two event showing he has that class edge needed for this race.
Having not been seen since January he looks primed for a race like this.