Warwick Saturday Preview

Warwick - January 16 2021
Warwick 12:40
2
Jonjo O'Neill Jr

Pasley

J:
 
Jonjo O'Neill Jr
T:
 
Jonjo O'Neill
Age: 5
Weight: 11-10
OR: 107
Days: 27

The first event of the day at Warwick is the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle over two miles and the horse that takes the eye is the Jonjo O'Neill trained Pasley.

The JP McManus owned youngster moved over from Ireland this season having previously been with Joseph O'Brien and after some lesser runs looks very well handicapped on his old form.

For O'Brien last term the gelding showed real ability not finishing outside the top three on all four of his outings over hurdles and now off a mark of 107 looks dangerous if recapturing form.

However, he must be better than what he has shown to date in England.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
13/04/21STH20.5Gd11-126
09/03/21EXE17GS10-126
16/01/21WAR16Hy11-103
20/12/20FAK16GS12-08
26/11/20TAU16.5Gd12-17
Warwick - January 16 2021
Warwick 13:15
2
Jonjo O'Neill Jr

Sky Pirate

J:
 
Jonjo O'Neill Jr
T:
 
Jonjo O'Neill
Age: 8
Weight: 11-11
OR: 145
Days: 35

Sky Pirate is our selection for Jonjo O'Neill in the Edward Courage Cup Handicap Chase over two miles with this eight year old looking to cement his Cheltenham position.

During the eight year olds career he has been slightly frustrating, being tried at the wrong distances, but last time out when sent over two miles for the first time in his career, he looked unstoppable.

The gelding won a Handicap Chase by close to four lengths, never coming off the bridle and that came over the same course and distance as the Grand Annual.

The form of that race has since been franked with Ibleo for Venetia Williams who finished second that day has since gone on to win a similar event next time out.

Although going up in the weights for that run he looked to have bundles in hand when winning in December and now sticking at two miles seems to be the making of him.

He has been largely consistent over his career without threatening to be special but now that has all changed and if he is hoping to kick his career on he will need to win this race.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
23/04/22SAN15.5Gd11-7PU
07/04/22AIN16GS11-124
16/03/22CHL16Hy11-1211
12/02/22NBY16.5GS11-44
15/01/22WAR16.5Sft11-122
Warwick - January 16 2021
Warwick 13:50
2
Jonjo O'Neill Jr

Fiddlerontheroof

J:
 
Jonjo O'Neill Jr
T:
 
Colin Tizzard
Age: 7
Weight: 11-0
OR: 148
Days: 29

The first Grade Two race of the day is the Hampton Novices' Chase over three miles and although only three runners the event looks a hot contest.

The six year old won a good Irish bumper on his final start two seasons ago and since then has moved to Tizzard's yard and made his debut last season at Chepstow in the Grade Two Persian War Novices Hurdle.

He was gambled on massively for that contest but could only finish a decent second just being outstayed by third in the 2019 Champion Bumper, Thyme Hill.

He then made his second start in England at Wincanton when again in another battle with Edwardstone and he finished second again.

In what looked his big chance to get off the mark he headed to Sandown in heavy conditions and he did not disappoint bolting up, he then went over course and distance in the Grade One Tolworth Hurdle and landed his first black type event.

The son of Stowaway was then sent to the Supreme Novices Hurdle where he never got into the race and ultimately disappointed.

Sent chasing this term by Tizzard he could only finish second on debut at Ffos Las behind If The Cap Fits, but used that experience to get off the mark next time out narrowly at Exeter.

He took a step back when being well beaten by Caribean boy two starts ago, but that was on ground he is not comfortable with.

Last time out he got his perfect conditions at Ascot in the Grade Two Noel Novices' Chase, but again could only finish second behind the smart Allart on debut for Nicky Henderson.

He is a live player in this event with the ground expected to be very wet again, but he needs to be at his best and be able to get past this seconditis and hopefully the step up in trip can do that.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
19/02/22ASC24Sft11-102
27/11/21NBY26GS11-42
31/10/21CRL20Sft11-21
09/04/21AIN25GS11-43
17/03/21CHL24.5GS11-42
Warwick - January 16 2021
Warwick 14:25
4
Tom Cannon

Jay Bee Why

J:
 
Tom Cannon
T:
 
Alan King
Age: 6
Weight: 11-0
OR: N/A
Days: 37

The Ballymore Leamington Novices' Hurdle over 2m5f is one of the feature events at Warwick at the weekend and we believe to have sniffed out some big value.

Jay Bee Why for trainer Alan King looks a live contender at 8/1 in this event, with his price only going to shorten before the off with plenty of non runners expected at the latest declaration stage.

The six year old back in October 2019 landed a 10 runner point to point and from that was bought for £68,000 and given to leading dual purpose trainer Alan King.

King in January of last year gave the gelding his debut in a hot bumper at Newbury which saw Your Darling and Flinteur Sacre finish first and second, but unfortunately the youngster could not get involved.

He was not seen again that season and returned this term over hurdles over course and distance at Warwick and was an easy as you like winner of a 17 runner maiden.

He took the event by close to 10 lengths, loving the soft conditions and staying every inch of the 2m5f which makes you believe he will come on again for that performance.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
13/04/22KEM21Gd11-103
19/03/22KEM21Gd10-134
26/01/22WCN20Gd11-03
11/12/21CHL20.5GS11-23
10/11/21EXE19GS11-32
Warwick - January 16 2021
Warwick 14:25
5
Aidan Coleman

Lord Of Kerak

J:
 
Aidan Coleman
T:
 
Olly Murphy
Age: 6
Weight: 11-0
OR: 133
Days: 39

At a bigger price in the event is the Olly Murphy trained Lord Of Kerak and from an each way stand point we can't get away from him.

Olly Murphy has finally this season got the winners firing out with some smart winners over the last few weeks and is hoping Lord Of Kerak can keep the good run going.

The six year old was sent straight over hurdles in October at Uttoxeter and finished a good second behind the smart Wilde About Oscar, who has since franked the form.

Next time out he went to Sandown and again was close up behind Adrimel to finish second and that was at a time when Murphy's horses weren't firing.

He finally got off the mark last time out back at Uttoxeter when stepped up in trip to 2m4f for the first time in his career and it suited him down to the ground.

Although he has to reverse the form with the favourite Adrimel, Murphy's horses are now in better form, he is getting 3lb off him and he is four times the price.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
12/03/22HER25.5Sft12-02
20/01/22WCN24.5GS11-34
21/12/21AYR20.5Sft11-135
21/04/21PER24GS11-06
27/02/21NCS20.5Sft11-12
Warwick - January 16 2021
Warwick 15:00
8
Harry Skelton

Captain Chaos

J:
 
Harry Skelton
T:
 
Dan Skelton
Age: 10
Weight: 10-2
OR: 136
Days: 49

The feature event at this meeting every season is the Grade Three Classic Handicap Chase over 3m5f and Dan Skelton seems to have the winning ticket with Captain Chaos.

The 10 year old has been a veteran in these sort of races and even though his form figures recently don't make for fond reading, he is a live player in this event.

In this event you need a horse that will stay every bit of the trip on soft ground and Captain Chaos is proven at doing just that when finishing a good second in the race last term.

This season he heads into the event on 2lb higher than he was this time last term and with blinkers fitted it should spark a revival.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
07/12/21FON21.5Sft11-5PU
10/11/21BAN24Sft10-9PU
30/10/21ASC24Sft9-13PU
21/03/21CRL24.5Sft11-124
20/02/21ASC24Sft10-91
Warwick - January 16 2021
Warwick 15:35
2
Paddy Brennan

Imperial Alcazar

J:
 
Paddy Brennan
T:
 
Fergal O'Brien
Age: 7
Weight: 11-2
OR: 139
Days: 56

The final selection from us at Warwick with us avoiding the bumper in the last comes in the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle over 3m1f and Imperial Alcazar for Fergal O'Brien is an interesting entry.

The seven year old looks to have a stand out chance in this event if bouncing back to last seasons form having finished a tame ninth of 17 runners on seasonal debut in the extremely tough Grade Three Stayers' Handicap Hurdle at Haydock.

Last term the son of Vinnie Roe raced four times, winning twice and placing in the other two, with his second behind Protektorat at Cheltenham by a head looking like solid form.

He should be much better for his first run of the season and getting better conditions at Warwick should see him in the mix, especially down 1lb from his last run.

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