Champion Hurdle 2024 Stats & Trends

Champion Hurdle Stats & Trends 2024

James Mackie | @JMackieRacing

Champion Hurdle Trends 2024

The first championship race of the festival.

The best of the two mile hurdlers will fight for bragging rights around Cheltenham as categorically the best in the division.

Two superstars top the ante-post markets but how do they stack up to the trends over the last few years?

We will delve into what type of horse is most likely to land this event off the back of past winners and what they did or didn't do before the race that helped them land the Grade One contest.

Stat One

First off, 12 of the 16 previous winners have been aged six, seven or eight, the most recent exception being over the age bracket was in 2016 when Annie Power was the super sub for Willie Mullins and Rich Ricci.

This trend would cast some doubts over the chances over a few currently still in the race including two past winners of the race in Honeysuckle and Epatante being nine now, second twice in the race Sharjah who is now 10 and third favourite Vauban alongside Pied Piper who are both five.

Age is a big factor in this race and needs looking at.

Stat Two

With this being a championship race, prior form is of upmost importance, all 16 previous winners had placed in the top four last time out.

15 out of 16 winners placed top three last time out and finally 13 of the 16 winners won last time out.

Constitution Hill and State Man back this up in a big way with them two being a class above the rest of the field at this stage.

Coming in off the back of some solid form looks essential so be wary of those who are blowing out in their prep runs.

Stat Three

As usual course form has strong links to the winners of the Champion Hurdle and 13 of the 16 previous winners of the most prestigious hurdle race in the national hunt calendar had run at the previous year’s festival.

Couple this with the fact that 11 of those 13 winners had placed top 4 in that previous run at the festival and you see how important previous course form really is.

However, exceptions to the latter have come recently with Espoir D’Allen and Epatante both not placing at the festival the season before going on to win the race, but most of the time this stat does apply.

Constitution Hill and State Man were both good winners at the festival last year in the Supreme and County Hurdle respectively.

Stat Four

Previous festival experience at Punchestown has settled nicely in previous winners too with 9 out of 15 having a run at the previous year’s festival, with 8 out of those winning at the five day showcase in Ireland.

Honeysuckle, Annie Power, Faugheen, Jezki, Hurricane Fly, and Punjabi were all winners at the previous season’s Punchestown festival.

State Man follows this trend having won at the Punchestown festival last season winning the first Grade One of his career.

Stat Five

Class is a must have component for a championship horse, on paper this is a Grade One but it’s almost of it’s own level.

It needs a cut above the rest and that shows as 10 of 16 previous winners had won at least two Grade One national hunt races.

nine of 16 had won at least three Grade One national hunt races.

Those ticking the latter of those boxes this season are Constitution Hill, State Man, Epatante, and Honeysuckle, with only the first two looking to go for the race.

Stat Six

Finally, you can siphon out those with class in their blood, 10 of the last 16 winners have been sired by a Group One winner on the flat.

It might be interesting to note that Epatante and Honeysuckle who have won the race for the last three years fit this trend, where as the favourite Constitution Hill does not.

Value Angle - Constitution Hill

Whether it is value or not Constitution Hill is very unlikely to get beat in the Champion Hurdle and although State Man is a worthy competitor actually fitting more of the stats, Nicky Henderson's horse is the one to be on for the Champion Hurdle.