Grade 1 Breeders Cup Mile Guide 2022

Louis Moir | @LouisMoir99

Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
12(12)
Juan J Hernandez

King Cause

J: Juan J Hernandez
T: Michael J Maker
N/A
Age: 7
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 27

Won a Grade 3 at Belmont on last start, but that was over a mile so he appreciates the longer trip. Stepping down to 1m here may not suit so he will have to adapt to that though regardless of this he looks an unlikely challenger.

One to ignore as an outsider.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
09/10/22BBA9Fm8-111
14/09/22KND8Fm8-82
21/08/22DMA8Fm8-91
01/08/22DMA9Fm8-910
07/05/22BLM9Y8-86
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
1(1)
James Doyle

Pogo

J: James Doyle
T: Charles Hills
N/A
Age: 6
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 29

Pogo rates an interesting runner for this yard as he has shown signs of good performances and progression but will have to continue this solid form stepping up to the mile after previously running at 7f.

Jockey James Doyle is in superb form so that enhances his chances here. Foolish to overlook.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
07/10/22NMK7Gd9-51
20/08/22YOR7GF9-82
13/08/22NBY7GF9-85
26/07/22GOO7Gd9-53
25/06/22NMK7Gd9-101
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
8(8)
Jose L Ortiz

Regal Glory

J: Jose L Ortiz
T: Chad C Brown
N/A
Age: 6
Weight: 8-11
OR: N/A
Days: 28

One of two for trainer Chad Brown and this mare could take something special to beat her. She made it 3-3 before finishing twice on the next two runs and has won 12 races from 6f to 1m on firm and good ground.

Beaten only a length by In Italian when second of 6 last time out in the Grade 1 First Lady S. Presented by UK HealthCare over course and distance.

Must be high on the shortlist once again as she remains with more winning potential.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
08/10/22KEE8Fm8-122
13/08/22SAR8Fm8-72
11/06/22BLM8Fm8-121
16/04/22KEE8.5Gd8-111
29/01/22GUL8.5Fm8-111
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
10(10)
Ryan Moore

Order Of Australia

J: Ryan Moore
T: A P O'Brien
N/A
Age: 5
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 28

This horse never seems to disgrace himself when running at big prices so he can never be totally ignored, therefore the same goes with him again for this. Was third of 11 behind fellow rivals Ivar and eventual winner Annapolis on his latest outing in the Grade 1 Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes over course and distance.

Could play a part in this, but has to remain very consistent yet again.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
08/10/22KEE8Fm9-03
04/09/22LON8GS9-42
14/08/22DEA8GS9-54
27/07/22GOO8GF9-107
17/07/22CUR7Gd9-101
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
11(11)
Irad Ortiz Jr

Annapolis

J: Irad Ortiz Jr
T: Todd Pletcher
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 8-11
OR: N/A
Days: 28

He had recently been running over shorter distances before stepping up in trip on his last outing when winning over course and distance in the Grade 1 Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes last month, beating Ivar who he faces again here by 1 ½ lengths.

Definitely talented enough to have a big say in this so cannot be ruled out. A consistent performer.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
08/10/22KEE8Fm8-111
03/09/22SAR8.5Fm8-101
06/08/22SAR9.5Fm8-102
04/07/22BLM8Fm8-101
03/06/22PEN8Sft8-102
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
6(6)
Javier Castellano

Ivar

J: Javier Castellano
T: Paulo H Lobo
N/A
Age: 6
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 28

Ivar has form with a couple other rivals that he faces again here, but steps up massively in Class for what looks a tough race for him to crack.

He may have possibilities at this level as he has the experience of winning over course and distance and that may go a long way.

Will have to continue to progress so one at a bigger price who may just be able to give others something to think about.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
08/10/22KEE8Fm9-02
17/09/22WOO8Fm8-102
09/07/22ING8.5Fm8-61
06/11/21DMA8Fm9-03
09/10/21KEE8Gd9-04
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
13(13)
Frankie Dettori

Kinross

J: Frankie Dettori
T: Ralph Beckett
N/A
Age: 5
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 21

This 5 year old son of Kingman made it 4-4 when winning last time out at Ascot in the Group 1 Champion Stakes. The drop in trip was a slight concern, but he managed to overcome that and won well.

Steps up to a mile here, but it may suit and will have a lot more to give. He is in huge contention for a five-timer. Major player and has to be feared.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/10/22ASC6GS9-41
02/10/22LON7VSft9-21
11/09/22DON7Sft9-91
20/08/22YOR7GF9-81
26/07/22GOO7Gd9-52
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
5(5)
John R Velazquez

Smooth Like Strait

J: John R Velazquez
T: Michael McCarthy
N/A
Age: 5
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 84

This 5 year old will not be hoping for another second as he has enjoyed plenty of them in recent runs.

He has been running over a mile so the trip will not be an issue, but he needs to improve in order to win such a big race and that is not out of the question.

He is another at bigger prices who cannot be ruled out.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
05/11/22KEE8Fm9-09
13/08/22CHU9Gd8-132
30/05/22SNA8Fm8-122
15/04/22KEE8Gd8-113
06/11/21DMA8Fm9-02
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
3(3)
Kieran Shoemark

Dreamloper

J: Kieran Shoemark
T: Ed Walker
N/A
Age: 5
Weight: 8-11
OR: N/A
Days: 62

This Group 1 winning mare has been a wonderful horse for connections as she looks to notch up another great success here.

She won two Group 1 races at Longchamp beating some impressive individuals on both occasions. Off the back of that latest effort, she rates a big player and must surely be in contention.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
04/09/22LON8GS9-11
28/07/22GOO10GF9-95
26/06/22CUR10Y/Sft9-126
29/05/22LON9.5GS8-131
01/05/22NMK9GF9-01
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
14(14)
Flavien Prat

Domestic Spending

J: Flavien Prat
T: Chad C Brown
N/A
Age: 5
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 447

Trainer Chad Brown’s second runner in the race and one that is quite fascinating due to how many days he has been off the racetrack.

This 5 year old gelded son of Kingman has not been seen for a whopping 447 days so it is a total guess whether or not he will improve on reappearance in this Grade 1 Breeders Cup Mile.It certainly looks a tough ask to go and perform in such a race after having no race fitness in him.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
14/08/21ARL10Gd9-02
05/06/21BLM10Gd8-121
01/05/21CHU9Fm8-121
29/11/20DMA9Fm8-101
15/08/20SAR9.5Fm8-101
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
2(2)
Luis Saez

Shirl's Speight

J: Luis Saez
T: Roger L Attfield
N/A
Age: 5
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 49

Has not shown much of note when running in high level races so hard to make a case for him in another Grade 1 contest here.

Will find it very tough and needs to step up to show he can compete. Easy to dismiss.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
17/09/22WOO8Fm9-04
23/07/22WOO7Fm9-05
18/06/22MON8Fs8-123
07/05/22CHU9Fm8-114
15/04/22KEE8Gd8-111
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
7(7)
Victor Espinoza

Beyond Brilliant

J: Victor Espinoza
T: John Shirreffs
N/A
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
OR: N/A
Days: 35

A fairly inconsistent sort as you can see from recent from so unsure what Beyond Brilliant will turn up on the day. Has won races from 1m to 1m 2f on good ground and on the all-weather.

Won the Grade 2 City of Hope Mile Stakes at Santa Anita last month, beating Cathkin Peak by ¾ lengths. May struggle a lot in Grade 1 company, hard to fancy.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
05/11/22KEE8Fm9-08
01/10/22SNA8Fm9-01
01/08/22DMA9Fm8-136
01/05/22SNA10Fm9-01
06/03/22SNA8Fm8-124
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
4(4)
William Buick

Modern Games

J: William Buick
T: Charlie Appleby
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 8-11
OR: N/A
Days: 21

Jockey and trainer won this race last year with Space Blues and will be looking to do the same again with this 3 year old son of Dubawi.

Versatile ground wise and won a Group 1 at Longchamp in May.Was beaten only 1 and ¼ lengths by the Roger Varian trained Bayside Boy when second of 9 other rivals on his latest outing in the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot over 1m last month.

Very much respected for the always powerful connections of Godolphin.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
15/10/22ASC8GS9-32
17/09/22WOO8Fm8-111
27/07/22GOO8GF9-22
10/07/22DEA7GS9-25
05/06/22CHA10.5Sft9-23
Keeneland - November 05 2022
Keeneland 19:10
9(9)
Tyler Gaffalione

Malavath

J: Tyler Gaffalione
T: F-H Graffard
N/A
Age: 3
Weight: 8-8
OR: N/A
Days: 34

The French raider comes here off the back of finishing second at big odds of 28/1 where she was 2 lengths behind fellow rival Kinross.

She will find it tough to reverse any form with that winner so others make more pressing claims.This 3 year old daughter of Mehmas will have to run yet another big race stepping up in trip.

DateCourseDistanceTypeWeightPosition
02/10/22LON7VSft8-102
02/08/22DEA8GS8-114
29/05/22LON7GS8-65
01/05/22NMK8GF9-010
07/04/22DEA7Hy9-01

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